Austin Reaves points prop 22.5 at MIL
Austin Reaves, G for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 22.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 23.3 points, give or take 7.8; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 22.5.
- 34.9 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean over at 22.5: our chance of the over 49%, the books' 47%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 22.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 27
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 25.5
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 23.2
- This season: over in 7 of 11, average 25.3
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 121.2 points allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 60%, average 27 in 5 games
- Home: over 83%, average 24.7 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 26 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 26 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 21.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 26.5 in 8 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 25 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 43 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 25 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 21 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 27 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 19 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 21 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 16 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 26 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 29 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 28 | over |
More Austin Reaves props
- Austin Reaves rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Austin Reaves assists (our line 5.5)
- Austin Reaves threes made (our line 2.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + reb + ast (our line 32.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + reb (our line 26.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + ast (our line 28.5)
- Austin Reaves reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Austin Reaves steals (our line 0.5)
- Austin Reaves blocks (our line 0.5)
- Austin Reaves turnovers (our line 2.5)
Austin Reaves player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Austin Reaves's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 22.5 points, from 5 books. We project 23.3 and give the over 51%.
How often has Austin Reaves gone over 22.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 11 this season, averaging 25.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Austin Reaves points?
Lean, over 22.5: our chance 49% against the books' 47%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Austin Reaves?
Favourable: MIL allow 121.2 points a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.