Austin Reaves pts + ast prop 27.5 at MIL
Austin Reaves, G for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 27.5 p+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 28.6 p+a, give or take 8.4; our chance of the over 53%; our own line 28.5.
- 34.9 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 27.5: our chance of the over 49%, the books' 48%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 27.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 30.8
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 30
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 28.2
- This season: over in 6 of 11, average 29.9
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 149 p+a allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 30.8 in 5 games
- Home: over 67%, average 30.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 29.6 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 29.6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 24.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 31.4 in 8 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 33 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 47 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 27 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 25 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 32 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 23 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 26 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 33 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 33 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 37 | over |
More Austin Reaves props
- Austin Reaves points (our line 22.5)
- Austin Reaves rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Austin Reaves assists (our line 5.5)
- Austin Reaves threes made (our line 2.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + reb + ast (our line 32.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + reb (our line 26.5)
- Austin Reaves reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Austin Reaves steals (our line 0.5)
- Austin Reaves blocks (our line 0.5)
- Austin Reaves turnovers (our line 2.5)
Austin Reaves player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Austin Reaves's pts + ast line at MIL?
The books' line is 27.5 p+a, from 5 books. We project 28.6 and give the over 53%.
How often has Austin Reaves gone over 27.5 p+a?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 11 this season, averaging 30 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Austin Reaves pts + ast?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Austin Reaves?
Favourable: MIL allow 149 p+a a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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