Austin Reaves threes made prop 2.5 at MIL
Austin Reaves, G for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.2 threes, give or take 1.5; our chance of the over 39%; our own line 2.5.
- 34.9 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 2.5: our chance of the over 41%, the books' 41%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 2.5
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 2.1
- This season: over in 5 of 11, average 2.4
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 14.8 threes allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 2.4 in 5 games
- Home: over 50%, average 2.5 in 6 games
- Away: over 40%, average 2.2 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 2.2 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 2.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 2.5 in 8 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 5 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 3 | over |
More Austin Reaves props
- Austin Reaves points (our line 22.5)
- Austin Reaves rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Austin Reaves assists (our line 5.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + reb + ast (our line 32.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + reb (our line 26.5)
- Austin Reaves pts + ast (our line 28.5)
- Austin Reaves reb + ast (our line 9.5)
- Austin Reaves steals (our line 0.5)
- Austin Reaves blocks (our line 0.5)
- Austin Reaves turnovers (our line 2.5)
Austin Reaves player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Austin Reaves's threes made line at MIL?
The books' line is 2.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 2.2 and give the over 39%.
How often has Austin Reaves gone over 2.5 threes?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 11 this season, averaging 2.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Austin Reaves threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 41% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Austin Reaves?
Favourable: MIL allow 14.8 threes a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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