Caleb Wilson points prop 18.5 vs SAS
Caleb Wilson, F for CHI, next plays vs SAS on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 18.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 20.1 points, give or take 7.4; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 19.5.
- 31.8 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Norman Powell's status
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 18.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 50%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 18.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 18
- Last 10: over in 5 of 9, average 19.3
- Last 20: over in 5 of 9, average 19.3
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 19.3
Defence vs position
SAS vs all players: tough, 106.7 points allowed a game, 25 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 15.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 67%, average 22.7 in 3 games
- Away: over 50%, average 17.7 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 67%, average 22.7 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 30 in 1 game
- Rested: over 57%, average 18.3 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 18 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NYK | 5 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at PHI | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at BOS | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs NYK | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at BOS | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs WAS | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at MIL | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at TOR | 16 | under |
More Caleb Wilson props
- Caleb Wilson rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Caleb Wilson assists (our line 1.5)
- Caleb Wilson threes made (our line 2.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + reb + ast (our line 27.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + ast (our line 21.5)
- Caleb Wilson reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Caleb Wilson steals (our line 1.5)
- Caleb Wilson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Caleb Wilson turnovers (our line 2.5)
Caleb Wilson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Caleb Wilson's points line vs SAS?
The books' line is 18.5 points, from 5 books. We project 20.1 and give the over 56%.
How often has Caleb Wilson gone over 18.5 points?
Over in 5 of 9 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 19.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Caleb Wilson points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 50% for the over.
Is SAS a good matchup for Caleb Wilson?
Tough: SAS allow 106.7 points a game to all players, 25 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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