Caleb Wilson threes made prop 2.5 vs SAS
Caleb Wilson, F for CHI, next plays vs SAS on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.5 threes, give or take 1.6; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 2.5.
- 31.8 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Norman Powell's status
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 2.5: our chance of the under 60%, the books' 59%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 3.2
- Last 10: over in 3 of 9, average 2.3
- Last 20: over in 3 of 9, average 2.3
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 2.3
Defence vs position
SAS vs all players: tough, 11.9 threes allowed a game, 24 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 2.3 in 3 games
- Home: over 33%, average 2 in 3 games
- Away: over 33%, average 2.5 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 2 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 1 in 1 game
- Rested: over 43%, average 2.7 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NYK | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at PHI | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at BOS | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs NYK | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at BOS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs WAS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at MIL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at TOR | 1 | under |
More Caleb Wilson props
- Caleb Wilson points (our line 19.5)
- Caleb Wilson rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Caleb Wilson assists (our line 1.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + reb + ast (our line 27.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + ast (our line 21.5)
- Caleb Wilson reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Caleb Wilson steals (our line 1.5)
- Caleb Wilson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Caleb Wilson turnovers (our line 2.5)
Caleb Wilson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Caleb Wilson's threes made line vs SAS?
The books' line is 2.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 2.5 and give the over 45%.
How often has Caleb Wilson gone over 2.5 threes?
Over in 3 of 9 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 2.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Caleb Wilson threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 41% for the over.
Is SAS a good matchup for Caleb Wilson?
Tough: SAS allow 11.9 threes a game to all players, 24 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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