Caleb Wilson steals prop 1.5 vs SAS
Caleb Wilson, F for CHI, next plays vs SAS on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.6 steals, give or take 1.3; our chance of the over 46%; our own line 1.5.
- 31.8 minutes projected, starting
- listed day-to-day
- waiting on Norman Powell's status
- small sample, leaning on priors
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the over 41%, the books' 40%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 9, average 1.9
- Last 20: over in 5 of 9, average 1.9
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 1.9
Defence vs position
SAS vs all players: tough, 7 steals allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 2.3 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 2 in 3 games
- Away: over 33%, average 1.8 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 2 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 2 in 1 game
- Rested: over 43%, average 1.7 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs PHI | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at NYK | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at PHI | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at BOS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs NYK | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at BOS | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs WAS | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at MIL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at TOR | 3 | over |
More Caleb Wilson props
- Caleb Wilson points (our line 19.5)
- Caleb Wilson rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Caleb Wilson assists (our line 1.5)
- Caleb Wilson threes made (our line 2.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + reb + ast (our line 27.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Caleb Wilson pts + ast (our line 21.5)
- Caleb Wilson reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Caleb Wilson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Caleb Wilson turnovers (our line 2.5)
Caleb Wilson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Caleb Wilson's steals line vs SAS?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 1.6 and give the over 46%.
How often has Caleb Wilson gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 5 of 9 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 1.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Caleb Wilson steals?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 40% for the over.
Is SAS a good matchup for Caleb Wilson?
Tough: SAS allow 7 steals a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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