Damian Lillard steals prop 0.5 vs OKC
Damian Lillard, G for POR, next plays vs OKC on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.8 steals, give or take 1.0; our chance of the over 55%; our own line 0.5.
- 29.3 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring -3% per possession
- usage up: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe out (shots +3%, assists +6%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 5 of 9, average 0.8
- Last 20: over in 5 of 9, average 0.8
- This season: over in 5 of 9, average 0.8
Defence vs position
OKC vs all players: tough, 6.2 steals allowed a game, 30 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 0.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 33%, average 0.3 in 3 games
- Away: over 67%, average 1 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 0.3 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
- Rested: over 57%, average 0.9 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs SAS | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at LAL | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at PHX | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at DEN | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at UTA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs MEM | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at LAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAC | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs PHX | 1 | over |
More Damian Lillard props
- Damian Lillard points (our line 18.5)
- Damian Lillard rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Damian Lillard assists (our line 4.5)
- Damian Lillard threes made (our line 2.5)
- Damian Lillard pts + reb + ast (our line 26.5)
- Damian Lillard pts + reb (our line 21.5)
- Damian Lillard pts + ast (our line 23.5)
- Damian Lillard reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Damian Lillard blocks (our line 0.5)
- Damian Lillard turnovers (our line 2.5)
Damian Lillard player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Damian Lillard's steals line vs OKC?
The books' line is 0.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 0.8 and give the over 55%.
How often has Damian Lillard gone over 0.5 steals?
Over in 5 of 9 of his last 10 games and 5 of 9 this season, averaging 0.8 over his last 10.
Is OKC a good matchup for Damian Lillard?
Tough: OKC allow 6.2 steals a game to all players, 30 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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