Damian Lillard threes made prop 2.5 vs OKC
Damian Lillard, G for POR, next plays vs OKC on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.6 threes, give or take 1.7; our chance of the over 49%; our own line 2.5.
- 29.3 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring -5% per possession
- usage up: Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe out (shots +3%, assists +6%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
Lean under at 2.5: our chance of the under 46%, the books' 43%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 4 of 9, average 2.8
- Last 20: over in 4 of 9, average 2.8
- This season: over in 4 of 9, average 2.8
Defence vs position
OKC vs all players: neutral, 13.9 threes allowed a game, 12 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 2.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 33%, average 3 in 3 games
- Away: over 50%, average 2.7 in 6 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 3 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
- Rested: over 43%, average 2.4 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs SAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at LAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at PHX | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at DEN | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at UTA | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs MEM | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | at LAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs PHX | 6 | over |
More Damian Lillard props
- Damian Lillard points (our line 18.5)
- Damian Lillard rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Damian Lillard assists (our line 4.5)
- Damian Lillard pts + reb + ast (our line 26.5)
- Damian Lillard pts + reb (our line 21.5)
- Damian Lillard pts + ast (our line 22.5)
- Damian Lillard reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Damian Lillard steals (our line 0.5)
- Damian Lillard blocks (our line 0.5)
- Damian Lillard turnovers (our line 2.5)
Damian Lillard player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Damian Lillard's threes made line vs OKC?
The books' line is 2.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 2.6 and give the over 49%.
How often has Damian Lillard gone over 2.5 threes?
Over in 4 of 9 of his last 10 games and 4 of 9 this season, averaging 2.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Damian Lillard threes made?
Lean, under 2.5: our chance 46% against the books' 43%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is OKC a good matchup for Damian Lillard?
Neutral: OKC allow 13.9 threes a game to all players, 12 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.