De'Anthony Melton points prop 9.5 at HOU
De'Anthony Melton, G for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 11.6 points, give or take 6.0; our chance of the over 60%; our own line 11.5.
- 22.3 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 22.3 minutes (season 20.4, tonight 24.1)
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
Our lean
Lean over at 9.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 48%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 9.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 11
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 8.9
- This season: over in 5 of 11, average 10
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 106.4 points allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 9.6 in 5 games
- Home: over 57%, average 10.6 in 7 games
- Away: over 25%, average 9 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 9 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 13.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 10.4 in 8 games
- vs HOU: over 50%, average 14.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | vs MIA | 5 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs PHX | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs LAC | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIN | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHX | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 10 | over |
More De'Anthony Melton props
- De'Anthony Melton rebounds (our line 3.5)
- De'Anthony Melton assists (our line 2.5)
- De'Anthony Melton threes made (our line 1.5)
- De'Anthony Melton pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- De'Anthony Melton pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- De'Anthony Melton pts + ast (our line 13.5)
- De'Anthony Melton reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- De'Anthony Melton steals (our line 1.5)
- De'Anthony Melton blocks (our line 0.5)
- De'Anthony Melton turnovers (our line 1.5)
De'Anthony Melton player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is De'Anthony Melton's points line at HOU?
The books' line is 9.5 points, from 5 books. We project 11.6 and give the over 60%.
How often has De'Anthony Melton gone over 9.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 11 this season, averaging 11 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on De'Anthony Melton points?
Lean, over 9.5: our chance 51% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is HOU a good matchup for De'Anthony Melton?
Tough: HOU allow 106.4 points a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.