De'Anthony Melton pts + ast prop 11.5 at HOU
De'Anthony Melton, G for GSW, next plays at HOU on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 p+a. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 14.0 p+a, give or take 6.5; our chance of the over 62%; our own line 13.5.
- 22.3 minutes projected, off the bench
- priced at 22.3 minutes (season 20.4, tonight 24.1)
- HOU scorekeeper: assists -4%
Our lean
Lean over at 11.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 11.8
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 13.2
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 11.7
- This season: over in 4 of 11, average 12.2
Defence vs position
HOU vs all players: tough, 130.2 p+a allowed a game, 27 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 11.8 in 5 games
- Home: over 43%, average 12.6 in 7 games
- Away: over 25%, average 11.5 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 11.5 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 17 in 2 games
- Rested: over 38%, average 12.3 in 8 games
- vs HOU: over 50%, average 17.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs NOP | 19 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs ORL | 5 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | vs MIA | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs PHX | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs LAC | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs LAL | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIN | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at DEN | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHX | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs MEM | 10 | under |
More De'Anthony Melton props
- De'Anthony Melton points (our line 11.5)
- De'Anthony Melton rebounds (our line 3.5)
- De'Anthony Melton assists (our line 2.5)
- De'Anthony Melton threes made (our line 1.5)
- De'Anthony Melton pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- De'Anthony Melton pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- De'Anthony Melton reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- De'Anthony Melton steals (our line 1.5)
- De'Anthony Melton blocks (our line 0.5)
- De'Anthony Melton turnovers (our line 1.5)
De'Anthony Melton player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is De'Anthony Melton's pts + ast line at HOU?
The books' line is 11.5 p+a, from 5 books. We project 14.0 and give the over 62%.
How often has De'Anthony Melton gone over 11.5 p+a?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 11 this season, averaging 13.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on De'Anthony Melton pts + ast?
Lean, over 11.5: our chance 50% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is HOU a good matchup for De'Anthony Melton?
Tough: HOU allow 130.2 p+a a game to all players, 27 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.