Dyson Daniels points prop 9.5 at MIL
Dyson Daniels, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 points. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 11.3 points, give or take 5.1; our chance of the over 62%; our own line 10.5.
- 30.5 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +1%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 9.5: our chance of the over 53%, the books' 52%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 9.2
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 7.5
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 10.5
- This season: over in 5 of 13, average 9.5
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 120.2 points allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 8.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 50%, average 10.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 29%, average 9 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 29%, average 9 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 10.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 33%, average 8.1 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 67%, average 13 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 13 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 4 | under |
More Dyson Daniels props
- Dyson Daniels rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Dyson Daniels assists (our line 5.5)
- Dyson Daniels threes made (our line 0.5)
- Dyson Daniels pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Dyson Daniels pts + reb (our line 17.5)
- Dyson Daniels pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Dyson Daniels reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Dyson Daniels steals (our line 1.5)
- Dyson Daniels blocks (our line 0.5)
- Dyson Daniels turnovers (our line 1.5)
Dyson Daniels player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Dyson Daniels's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 9.5 points, from 3 books. We project 11.3 and give the over 62%.
How often has Dyson Daniels gone over 9.5 points?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 13 this season, averaging 7.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Dyson Daniels points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 52% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Dyson Daniels?
Favourable: MIL allow 120.2 points a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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