Dyson Daniels pts + reb prop 16.5 at MIL
Dyson Daniels, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 16.5 p+r. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 17.7 p+r, give or take 5.9; our chance of the over 55%; our own line 17.5.
- 30.5 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +1%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 16.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 16.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 19.2
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 14.8
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 18.1
- This season: over in 6 of 13, average 16.8
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 168.8 p+r allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 18.5 in 6 games
- Home: over 50%, average 17.3 in 6 games
- Away: over 43%, average 16.3 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 43%, average 16.3 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 18.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 33%, average 15.4 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 67%, average 21.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 15 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 16 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 19 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 22 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 24 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 15 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 4 | under |
More Dyson Daniels props
- Dyson Daniels points (our line 10.5)
- Dyson Daniels rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Dyson Daniels assists (our line 5.5)
- Dyson Daniels threes made (our line 0.5)
- Dyson Daniels pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Dyson Daniels pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Dyson Daniels reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Dyson Daniels steals (our line 1.5)
- Dyson Daniels blocks (our line 0.5)
- Dyson Daniels turnovers (our line 1.5)
Dyson Daniels player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Dyson Daniels's pts + reb line at MIL?
The books' line is 16.5 p+r, from 3 books. We project 17.7 and give the over 55%.
How often has Dyson Daniels gone over 16.5 p+r?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 13 this season, averaging 14.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Dyson Daniels pts + reb?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Dyson Daniels?
Favourable: MIL allow 168.8 p+r a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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