Dyson Daniels pts + ast prop 15.5 at MIL
Dyson Daniels, G for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 15.5 p+a. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 17.5 p+a, give or take 6.1; our chance of the over 60%; our own line 17.5.
- 30.5 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +1%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean over at 15.5: our chance of the over 53%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 15.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 17
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 13.7
- Last 20: over in 11 of 20, average 16.1
- This season: over in 6 of 13, average 15.1
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 148.5 p+a allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 15.8 in 6 games
- Home: over 67%, average 17.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 29%, average 13.3 in 7 games
- Away (next game): over 29%, average 13.3 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 15.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 33%, average 14.1 in 9 games
- vs MIL: over 67%, average 18.7 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs WAS | 25 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at WAS | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at IND | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 8 | under |
More Dyson Daniels props
- Dyson Daniels points (our line 10.5)
- Dyson Daniels rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Dyson Daniels assists (our line 5.5)
- Dyson Daniels threes made (our line 0.5)
- Dyson Daniels pts + reb + ast (our line 23.5)
- Dyson Daniels pts + reb (our line 17.5)
- Dyson Daniels reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Dyson Daniels steals (our line 1.5)
- Dyson Daniels blocks (our line 0.5)
- Dyson Daniels turnovers (our line 1.5)
Dyson Daniels player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Dyson Daniels's pts + ast line at MIL?
The books' line is 15.5 p+a, from 3 books. We project 17.5 and give the over 60%.
How often has Dyson Daniels gone over 15.5 p+a?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 13 this season, averaging 13.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Dyson Daniels pts + ast?
Lean, over 15.5: our chance 53% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Dyson Daniels?
Favourable: MIL allow 148.5 p+a a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.