Jaxson Hayes points prop 9.5 vs MIA
Jaxson Hayes, C for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 10.2 points, give or take 5.3; our chance of the over 52%; our own line 9.5.
- 23.4 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 23.4 minutes (season 22.7, tonight 24.0)
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +10%, assists +6%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 8.8
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 10
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 9.6
- This season: over in 2 of 9, average 8.6
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 121.1 points allowed a game, 5 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 9.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 8.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 20%, average 8.4 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 25%, average 8.8 in 4 games
- Rested: over 25%, average 9 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 0%, average 6 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 17 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 5 | under |
| 2026-04-05 | at DAL | 23 | over |
More Jaxson Hayes props
- Jaxson Hayes rebounds (our line 5.5)
- Jaxson Hayes assists (our line 1.5)
- Jaxson Hayes threes made (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + ast (our line 11.5)
- Jaxson Hayes reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Jaxson Hayes steals (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes turnovers (our line 0.5)
Jaxson Hayes player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jaxson Hayes's points line vs MIA?
The books' line is 9.5 points, from 4 books. We project 10.2 and give the over 52%.
How often has Jaxson Hayes gone over 9.5 points?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 9 this season, averaging 10 over his last 10.
Is MIA a good matchup for Jaxson Hayes?
Favourable: MIA allow 121.1 points a game to all players, 5 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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