Jaxson Hayes pts + reb prop 16.5 vs MIA
Jaxson Hayes, C for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 16.5 p+r. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 15.8 p+r, give or take 6.5; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 15.5.
- 23.4 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 23.4 minutes (season 22.7, tonight 24.0)
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +10%, assists +6%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
Our lean
Lean under at 16.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 16.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 15
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 16.1
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 15
- This season: over in 2 of 9, average 14.9
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 166.6 p+r allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 15.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 15.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 20%, average 14.2 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 25%, average 15.8 in 4 games
- Rested: over 25%, average 15.5 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 0%, average 11 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 24 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 14 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 10 | under |
| 2026-04-05 | at DAL | 27 | over |
More Jaxson Hayes props
- Jaxson Hayes points (our line 9.5)
- Jaxson Hayes rebounds (our line 5.5)
- Jaxson Hayes assists (our line 1.5)
- Jaxson Hayes threes made (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + ast (our line 11.5)
- Jaxson Hayes reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Jaxson Hayes steals (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes turnovers (our line 0.5)
Jaxson Hayes player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jaxson Hayes's pts + reb line vs MIA?
The books' line is 16.5 p+r, from 4 books. We project 15.8 and give the over 45%.
How often has Jaxson Hayes gone over 16.5 p+r?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 9 this season, averaging 16.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jaxson Hayes pts + reb?
Lean, under 16.5: our chance 53% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Jaxson Hayes?
Favourable: MIA allow 166.6 p+r a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.