Jaxson Hayes rebounds prop 6.5 vs MIA
Jaxson Hayes, C for UTA, next plays vs MIA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 6.5 rebounds. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 5.5 rebounds, give or take 2.8; our chance of the over 32%; our own line 5.5.
- 23.4 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 23.4 minutes (season 22.7, tonight 24.0)
- usage up: Jusuf Nurkić, Lauri Markkanen out (shots +10%, assists +6%)
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +2%
Our lean
Strong lean under at 6.5: our chance of the under 53%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 6.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 6.2
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 6.1
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 5.4
- This season: over in 3 of 9, average 6.3
Defence vs position
MIA vs all players: favourable, 45.5 rebounds allowed a game, 9 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 6 in 4 games
- Home: over 50%, average 7 in 4 games
- Away: over 20%, average 5.8 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 50%, average 7 in 4 games
- Rested: over 38%, average 6.5 in 8 games
- vs MIA: over 0%, average 5 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at MIN | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at DAL | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at NOP | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at SAS | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs POR | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs SAS | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAL | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs NOP | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at MEM | 5 | under |
| 2026-04-05 | at DAL | 4 | under |
More Jaxson Hayes props
- Jaxson Hayes points (our line 9.5)
- Jaxson Hayes assists (our line 1.5)
- Jaxson Hayes threes made (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Jaxson Hayes pts + ast (our line 11.5)
- Jaxson Hayes reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Jaxson Hayes steals (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jaxson Hayes turnovers (our line 0.5)
Jaxson Hayes player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jaxson Hayes's rebounds line vs MIA?
The books' line is 6.5 rebounds, from 4 books. We project 5.5 and give the over 32%.
How often has Jaxson Hayes gone over 6.5 rebounds?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 9 this season, averaging 6.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jaxson Hayes rebounds?
Strong lean, under 6.5: our chance 53% against the books' 46%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIA a good matchup for Jaxson Hayes?
Favourable: MIA allow 45.5 rebounds a game to all players, 9 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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