Obi Toppin rebounds prop 4.5 vs WAS
Obi Toppin, F for IND, next plays vs WAS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 4.3 rebounds, give or take 2.4; our chance of the over 42%; our own line 4.5.
- 18.1 minutes projected, off the bench
- usage up: Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard out (shots +3%, assists +7%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- may not play
Our lean
Lean over at 4.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 5.2
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 4.9
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 4.8
- This season: over in 6 of 8, average 5
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: favourable, 47.8 rebounds allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 4.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 100%, average 6 in 3 games
- Away: over 60%, average 4.4 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 100%, average 6 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 6 in 1 game
- Rested: over 83%, average 5.2 in 6 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs DEN | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at MEM | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs PHI | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at MIL | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at BKN | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DAL | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at NOP | 3 | under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs DET | 2 | under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 7 | over |
More Obi Toppin props
- Obi Toppin points (our line 10.5)
- Obi Toppin assists (our line 1.5)
- Obi Toppin threes made (our line 1.5)
- Obi Toppin pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Obi Toppin pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- Obi Toppin pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Obi Toppin reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Obi Toppin steals (our line 0.5)
- Obi Toppin blocks (our line 0.5)
- Obi Toppin turnovers (our line 0.5)
Obi Toppin player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Obi Toppin's rebounds line vs WAS?
The books' line is 4.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 4.3 and give the over 42%.
How often has Obi Toppin gone over 4.5 rebounds?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 8 this season, averaging 4.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Obi Toppin rebounds?
Lean, over 4.5: our chance 50% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is WAS a good matchup for Obi Toppin?
Favourable: WAS allow 47.8 rebounds a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.