Obi Toppin threes made prop 1.5 vs WAS
Obi Toppin, F for IND, next plays vs WAS on Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 threes. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.4 threes, give or take 1.2; our chance of the over 42%; our own line 1.5.
- 18.1 minutes projected, off the bench
- usage up: Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard out (shots +3%, assists +7%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- may not play
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 52%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 1.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 2.2
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 1.9
- This season: over in 4 of 8, average 1.8
Defence vs position
WAS vs all players: neutral, 12.4 threes allowed a game, 20 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 1 in 3 games
- Home: over 33%, average 1 in 3 games
- Away: over 60%, average 2.2 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 33%, average 1 in 3 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 2 in 1 game
- Rested: over 33%, average 1.3 in 6 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at DAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs DEN | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at MEM | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs PHI | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at MIL | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at BKN | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at NOP | 4 | over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs DET | 7 | over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 1 | under |
More Obi Toppin props
- Obi Toppin points (our line 10.5)
- Obi Toppin rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Obi Toppin assists (our line 1.5)
- Obi Toppin pts + reb + ast (our line 16.5)
- Obi Toppin pts + reb (our line 14.5)
- Obi Toppin pts + ast (our line 12.5)
- Obi Toppin reb + ast (our line 6.5)
- Obi Toppin steals (our line 0.5)
- Obi Toppin blocks (our line 0.5)
- Obi Toppin turnovers (our line 0.5)
Obi Toppin player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Obi Toppin's threes made line vs WAS?
The books' line is 1.5 threes, from 5 books. We project 1.4 and give the over 42%.
How often has Obi Toppin gone over 1.5 threes?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 8 this season, averaging 2.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Obi Toppin threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 48% for the over.
Is WAS a good matchup for Obi Toppin?
Neutral: WAS allow 12.4 threes a game to all players, 20 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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