Tyler Herro assists prop 4.5 vs ATL
Tyler Herro, G for MIL, next plays vs ATL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 assists. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 4.5 assists, give or take 2.3; our chance of the over 46%; our own line 4.5.
- 31.2 minutes projected, starting
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Strong lean under at 4.5: our chance of the under 49%, the books' 44%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 4.8
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 3.9
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 4.7
- This season: over in 4 of 12, average 4.3
Defence vs position
ATL vs all players: favourable, 28.1 assists allowed a game, 6 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 4.5 in 6 games
- Home: over 43%, average 4.6 in 7 games
- Away: over 20%, average 4 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 43%, average 4.6 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 22%, average 3.7 in 9 games
- vs ATL: over 50%, average 5.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at ORL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs LAL | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | vs BOS | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs TOR | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at BOS | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at MIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs CLE | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs HOU | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs IND | 7 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 3 | under |
More Tyler Herro props
- Tyler Herro points (our line 20.5)
- Tyler Herro rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Tyler Herro threes made (our line 2.5)
- Tyler Herro pts + reb + ast (our line 29.5)
- Tyler Herro pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Tyler Herro pts + ast (our line 25.5)
- Tyler Herro reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Tyler Herro steals (our line 0.5)
- Tyler Herro blocks (our line 0.5)
- Tyler Herro turnovers (our line 1.5)
Tyler Herro player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Tyler Herro's assists line vs ATL?
The books' line is 4.5 assists, from 3 books. We project 4.5 and give the over 46%.
How often has Tyler Herro gone over 4.5 assists?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 12 this season, averaging 3.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Tyler Herro assists?
Strong lean, under 4.5: our chance 49% against the books' 44%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is ATL a good matchup for Tyler Herro?
Favourable: ATL allow 28.1 assists a game to all players, 6 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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