Tyler Herro pts + ast prop 26.5 vs ATL
Tyler Herro, G for MIL, next plays vs ATL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 26.5 p+a. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 25.5 p+a, give or take 8.1; our chance of the over 43%; our own line 25.5.
- 31.2 minutes projected, starting
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 26.5: our chance of the under 54%, the books' 53%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 26.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 26
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 24
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 24.7
- This season: over in 6 of 12, average 25.9
Defence vs position
ATL vs all players: favourable, 145 p+a allowed a game, 6 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 25.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 57%, average 27.1 in 7 games
- Away: over 40%, average 24.2 in 5 games
- Home (next game): over 57%, average 27.1 in 7 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 25 in 2 games
- Rested: over 44%, average 25.3 in 9 games
- vs ATL: over 50%, average 20 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at ORL | 20 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs LAL | 34 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | vs BOS | 15 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs TOR | 33 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at BOS | 28 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at MIN | 24 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs CLE | 17 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs HOU | 23 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs IND | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 16 | under |
More Tyler Herro props
- Tyler Herro points (our line 20.5)
- Tyler Herro rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Tyler Herro assists (our line 4.5)
- Tyler Herro threes made (our line 2.5)
- Tyler Herro pts + reb + ast (our line 29.5)
- Tyler Herro pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Tyler Herro reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Tyler Herro steals (our line 0.5)
- Tyler Herro blocks (our line 0.5)
- Tyler Herro turnovers (our line 1.5)
Tyler Herro player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Tyler Herro's pts + ast line vs ATL?
The books' line is 26.5 p+a, from 3 books. We project 25.5 and give the over 43%.
How often has Tyler Herro gone over 26.5 p+a?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 12 this season, averaging 24 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Tyler Herro pts + ast?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 47% for the over.
Is ATL a good matchup for Tyler Herro?
Favourable: ATL allow 145 p+a a game to all players, 6 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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