Ziaire Williams points prop 8.5 at MIL
Ziaire Williams, F for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 8.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.7 points, give or take 5.6; our chance of the over 55%; our own line 9.5.
- 22.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- priced at 22.6 minutes (season 23.4, tonight 21.9)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean over at 8.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 48%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 8.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 11.2
- Last 10: over in 8 of 10, average 10.9
- Last 20: over in 16 of 20, average 11.8
- This season: over in 8 of 9, average 11.2
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 121.2 points allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 80%, average 11.2 in 5 games
- Home: over 80%, average 10.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 100%, average 12.5 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 100%, average 12.5 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 10.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 83%, average 11.8 in 6 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 10 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 17 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs GSW | 9 | over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 8 | under |
More Ziaire Williams props
- Ziaire Williams rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Ziaire Williams assists (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + reb + ast (our line 13.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + reb (our line 11.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Ziaire Williams reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Ziaire Williams steals (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ziaire Williams turnovers (our line 0.5)
Ziaire Williams player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ziaire Williams's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 8.5 points, from 4 books. We project 9.7 and give the over 55%.
How often has Ziaire Williams gone over 8.5 points?
Over in 8 of 10 of his last 10 games and 8 of 9 this season, averaging 10.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ziaire Williams points?
Lean, over 8.5: our chance 52% against the books' 48%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Ziaire Williams?
Favourable: MIL allow 121.2 points a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.