Ziaire Williams rebounds prop 2.5 at MIL
Ziaire Williams, F for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 rebounds. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.5 rebounds, give or take 1.8; our chance of the over 45%; our own line 2.5.
- 22.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- priced at 22.6 minutes (season 23.4, tonight 21.9)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 2.5: our chance of the under 48%, the books' 47%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 2.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 2.8
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 2.5
- This season: over in 4 of 9, average 2.8
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 48.9 rebounds allowed a game, 2 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 2.6 in 5 games
- Home: over 60%, average 3 in 5 games
- Away: over 25%, average 2.5 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 25%, average 2.5 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 2 in 2 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 3 in 6 games
- vs MIL: over 50%, average 2.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs GSW | 3 | over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 3 | over |
More Ziaire Williams props
- Ziaire Williams points (our line 9.5)
- Ziaire Williams assists (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + reb + ast (our line 13.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + reb (our line 11.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Ziaire Williams reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Ziaire Williams steals (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ziaire Williams turnovers (our line 0.5)
Ziaire Williams player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ziaire Williams's rebounds line at MIL?
The books' line is 2.5 rebounds, from 4 books. We project 2.5 and give the over 45%.
How often has Ziaire Williams gone over 2.5 rebounds?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 9 this season, averaging 2.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ziaire Williams rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 53% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Ziaire Williams?
Favourable: MIL allow 48.9 rebounds a game to all players, 2 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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