Ziaire Williams pts + reb prop 11.5 at MIL
Ziaire Williams, F for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 11.5 p+r. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 12.3 p+r, give or take 6.2; our chance of the over 51%; our own line 11.5.
- 22.7 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- priced at 22.6 minutes (season 23.4, tonight 21.9)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean over at 11.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 47%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 11.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 13.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 13.7
- Last 20: over in 13 of 20, average 14.3
- This season: over in 7 of 9, average 14
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 170.1 p+r allowed a game, 2 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 60%, average 13.8 in 5 games
- Home: over 60%, average 13.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 100%, average 15 in 4 games
- Away (next game): over 100%, average 15 in 4 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 12.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 83%, average 14.8 in 6 games
- vs MIL: over 100%, average 12.5 in 2 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 14 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 19 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 11 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 14 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs LAC | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs GSW | 12 | over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 11 | under |
More Ziaire Williams props
- Ziaire Williams points (our line 9.5)
- Ziaire Williams rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Ziaire Williams assists (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams threes made (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + reb + ast (our line 13.5)
- Ziaire Williams pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Ziaire Williams reb + ast (our line 3.5)
- Ziaire Williams steals (our line 1.5)
- Ziaire Williams blocks (our line 0.5)
- Ziaire Williams turnovers (our line 0.5)
Ziaire Williams player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Ziaire Williams's pts + reb line at MIL?
The books' line is 11.5 p+r, from 4 books. We project 12.3 and give the over 51%.
How often has Ziaire Williams gone over 11.5 p+r?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 9 this season, averaging 13.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Ziaire Williams pts + reb?
Lean, over 11.5: our chance 50% against the books' 47%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Ziaire Williams?
Favourable: MIL allow 170.1 p+r a game to all players, 2 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.