Leo Carlsson assists prop 0.5 vs CGY
Leo Carlsson, C for ANA, next plays vs CGY on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.5 assists, give or take 0.8; our chance of the over 41%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent is close to the league average in expected goals allowed
- Creates 1.1 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:54 a game on the power play
- Faces Devin Cooley (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the under 49%, the books' 47%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 7 of 10, average 1.2
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 1.1
- This season: over in 12 of 20, average 1.1
Defence vs position
CGY vs C: favourable, 2.4 assists allowed a game, 4 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 57%, average 1 in 7 games
- Home: over 60%, average 1.3 in 10 games
- Away: over 60%, average 0.8 in 10 games
- Home (next game): over 60%, average 1.3 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 1.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 1 in 16 games
- vs CGY: over 67%, average 0.7 in 6 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | vs NYI | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PIT | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at CGY | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at EDM | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at VAN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs OTT | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs BUF | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs VAN | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 1 | over |
More Leo Carlsson props
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Quick answers
What is Leo Carlsson's assists line vs CGY?
The books' line is 0.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 0.5 and give the over 41%.
How often has Leo Carlsson gone over 0.5 assists?
Over in 7 of 10 of his last 10 games and 12 of 20 this season, averaging 1.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Leo Carlsson assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 53% for the over.
Is CGY a good matchup for Leo Carlsson?
Favourable: CGY allow 2.4 assists a game to C, 4 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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