Leo Carlsson shots on goal prop 2.5 vs CGY
Leo Carlsson, C for ANA, next plays vs CGY on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 2.5 shots. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.6 shots, give or take 1.7; our chance of the over 47%; our own line 2.5.
- Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent allows the 7th most shots on goal
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:54 a game on the power play
- Faces Devin Cooley (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 28 shots tonight, 2 more than usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
Lean under at 2.5: our chance of the under 55%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 2.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 1.8
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 2.1
- Last 20: over in 2 of 20, average 1.6
- This season: over in 2 of 20, average 1.6
Defence vs position
CGY vs C: favourable, 10 shots allowed a game, 10 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 14%, average 1.9 in 7 games
- Home: over 20%, average 1.7 in 10 games
- Away: over 0%, average 1.6 in 10 games
- Home (next game): over 20%, average 1.7 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 1.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 13%, average 1.7 in 16 games
- vs CGY: over 33%, average 2.2 in 6 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | vs NYI | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NSH | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PIT | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at CGY | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at EDM | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-03 | at VAN | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs OTT | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs BUF | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs VAN | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 2 | under |
More Leo Carlsson props
Leo Carlsson player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Leo Carlsson's shots on goal line vs CGY?
The books' line is 2.5 shots, from 3 books. We project 2.6 and give the over 47%.
How often has Leo Carlsson gone over 2.5 shots?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 20 this season, averaging 2.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Leo Carlsson shots on goal?
Lean, under 2.5: our chance 55% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is CGY a good matchup for Leo Carlsson?
Favourable: CGY allow 10 shots a game to C, 10 of 32 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.