Leo Carlsson points prop 0.5 vs CGY
Leo Carlsson, C for ANA, next plays vs CGY on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.9 points, give or take 1.0; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent is close to the league average in expected goals allowed
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:54 a game on the power play
- Faces Devin Cooley (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 28 shots tonight, 2 more than usual
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 1
- Last 10: over in 8 of 10, average 1.6
- Last 20: over in 14 of 20, average 1.4
- This season: over in 14 of 20, average 1.4
Defence vs position
CGY vs C: favourable, 3.7 points allowed a game, 5 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 71%, average 1.3 in 7 games
- Home: over 70%, average 1.5 in 10 games
- Away: over 70%, average 1.2 in 10 games
- Home (next game): over 70%, average 1.5 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 1.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 1.3 in 16 games
- vs CGY: over 100%, average 1.2 in 6 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | vs NYI | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PIT | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at CGY | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at EDM | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at VAN | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs OTT | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs BUF | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs VAN | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 2 | over |
More Leo Carlsson props
Leo Carlsson player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Leo Carlsson's points line vs CGY?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 4 books. We project 0.9 and give the over 56%.
How often has Leo Carlsson gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 8 of 10 of his last 10 games and 14 of 20 this season, averaging 1.6 over his last 10.
Is CGY a good matchup for Leo Carlsson?
Favourable: CGY allow 3.7 points a game to C, 5 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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