Leo Carlsson power-play points prop 0.5 vs CGY
Leo Carlsson, C for ANA, next plays vs CGY on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 pp points. 1 book is quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.4 pp points, give or take 0.6; our chance of the over 32%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 20 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the top line
- Opponent gives up the 9th fewest power-play goals a game (penalties and penalty kill together)
- Opponent's penalty kill allows the 8th fewest power-play goals per chance
- On the first power-play unit, about 3:54 a game on the power play
- Faces Devin Cooley (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 28 shots tonight, 2 more than usual
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 0.6
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 1
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 0.8
- This season: over in 10 of 20, average 0.8
Defence vs position
CGY vs C: neutral, 0.7 pp points allowed a game, 16 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 43%, average 0.7 in 7 games
- Home: over 60%, average 1.2 in 10 games
- Away: over 40%, average 0.5 in 10 games
- Home (next game): over 60%, average 1.2 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 0.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 0.9 in 16 games
- vs CGY: over 67%, average 0.7 in 6 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | pp points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | vs NYI | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-11 | vs NSH | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | vs PIT | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at CGY | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-05 | at EDM | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-03 | at VAN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | vs OTT | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-29 | vs BUF | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs VAN | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at PHI | 1 | over |
More Leo Carlsson props
Leo Carlsson player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Leo Carlsson's power-play points line vs CGY?
The books' line is 0.5 pp points, from 1 book. We project 0.4 and give the over 32%.
How often has Leo Carlsson gone over 0.5 pp points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 10 of 20 this season, averaging 1 over his last 10.
Is CGY a good matchup for Leo Carlsson?
Neutral: CGY allow 0.7 pp points a game to C, 16 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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