Tyler Toffoli assists prop 0.5 vs NSH
Tyler Toffoli, C for SJ, next plays vs NSH on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 assists. 1 book is quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.3 assists, give or take 0.5; our chance of the over 23%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 13.2 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the third line
- Opponent is close to the league average in expected goals allowed
- Creates 0.7 expected primary assists every 60 minutes
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the second power-play unit, about 2:25 a game on the power play
- Faces Justus Annunen (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 0.4
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 0.2
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 0.3
- This season: over in 7 of 22, average 0.3
Defence vs position
NSH vs C: tough, 1.6 assists allowed a game, 24 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 29%, average 0.3 in 7 games
- Home: over 20%, average 0.2 in 10 games
- Away: over 42%, average 0.4 in 12 games
- Home (next game): over 20%, average 0.2 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 0 in 2 games
- Rested: over 37%, average 0.4 in 19 games
- vs NSH: over 33%, average 0.3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at UTA | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PIT | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYI | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at DAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at LA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs CGY | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OTT | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs VAN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
More Tyler Toffoli props
Tyler Toffoli player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Tyler Toffoli's assists line vs NSH?
The books' line is 0.5 assists, from 1 book. We project 0.3 and give the over 23%.
How often has Tyler Toffoli gone over 0.5 assists?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 22 this season, averaging 0.2 over his last 10.
Is NSH a good matchup for Tyler Toffoli?
Tough: NSH allow 1.6 assists a game to C, 24 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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