Tyler Toffoli points prop 0.5 vs NSH
Tyler Toffoli, C for SJ, next plays vs NSH on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 points. 2 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.5 points, give or take 0.7; our chance of the over 38%; our own line 0.5.
- Projected for 13.2 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the third line
- Opponent is close to the league average in expected goals allowed
- Skates with linemates who create fewer chances than his usual ones
- On the second power-play unit, about 2:25 a game on the power play
- Faces Justus Annunen (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 29 shots tonight, about its usual
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 0.4
- Last 20: over in 8 of 20, average 0.6
- This season: over in 9 of 22, average 0.6
Defence vs position
NSH vs C: tough, 2.6 points allowed a game, 25 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 29%, average 0.6 in 7 games
- Home: over 20%, average 0.4 in 10 games
- Away: over 58%, average 0.8 in 12 games
- Home (next game): over 20%, average 0.4 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 42%, average 0.6 in 19 games
- vs NSH: over 33%, average 0.3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at UTA | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PIT | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYI | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at DAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | at MIN | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at LA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs CGY | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OTT | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs VAN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs BUF | 0 | under |
More Tyler Toffoli props
Tyler Toffoli player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Tyler Toffoli's points line vs NSH?
The books' line is 0.5 points, from 2 books. We project 0.5 and give the over 38%.
How often has Tyler Toffoli gone over 0.5 points?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 9 of 22 this season, averaging 0.4 over his last 10.
Is NSH a good matchup for Tyler Toffoli?
Tough: NSH allow 2.6 points a game to C, 25 of 32 (1 allows the most).
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