Tyler Toffoli shots on goal prop 1.5 vs NSH
Tyler Toffoli, C for SJ, next plays vs NSH on Sun, Nov 15, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 shots. 2 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 2.0 shots, give or take 1.5; our chance of the over 59%; our own line 1.5.
- Projected for 13.2 minutes of ice time
- Plays on the third line
- Opponent allows the 4th most shots on goal
- On the second power-play unit, about 2:25 a game on the power play
- Faces Justus Annunen (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected
- His club projects for 29 shots tonight, about its usual
- Second night of a back-to-back for his club
Our lean
Lean over at 1.5: our chance of the over 54%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 5 of 5, average 2.4
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 2.1
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 2.2
- This season: over in 13 of 22, average 2.2
Defence vs position
NSH vs C: neutral, 9.4 shots allowed a game, 15 of 32.
Splits
- November: over 86%, average 2.7 in 7 games
- Home: over 50%, average 2.3 in 10 games
- Away: over 67%, average 2.1 in 12 games
- Home (next game): over 50%, average 2.3 in 10 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 1.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 2.3 in 19 games
- vs NSH: over 67%, average 2 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | shots | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | at UTA | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-11 | vs PIT | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs NYI | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at DAL | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MIN | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at LA | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs CGY | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | vs OTT | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs VAN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs BUF | 1 | under |
More Tyler Toffoli props
Tyler Toffoli player page · Every NHL player prop today
Quick answers
What is Tyler Toffoli's shots on goal line vs NSH?
The books' line is 1.5 shots, from 2 books. We project 2.0 and give the over 59%.
How often has Tyler Toffoli gone over 1.5 shots?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 13 of 22 this season, averaging 2.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Tyler Toffoli shots on goal?
Lean, over 1.5: our chance 54% against the books' 51%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is NSH a good matchup for Tyler Toffoli?
Neutral: NSH allow 9.4 shots a game to C, 15 of 32 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.