Tyler Toffoli power-play points prop 0.5 vs NSH

Our projection

Our projection: 0.2 pp points, give or take 0.4; our chance of the over 16%; our own line 0.5.

• Projected for 13.2 minutes of ice time
• Plays on the third line
• Opponent gives up the 2nd fewest power-play goals a game (penalties and penalty kill together)
• Opponent's penalty kill allows the 5th fewest power-play goals per chance
• His club draws more power plays than most
• On the second power-play unit, about 2:25 a game on the power play
• Faces Justus Annunen (expected starter), who projects to save more goals than expected

Defence vs position

NSH vs C: tough, 0.3 pp points allowed a game, 32 of 32.

Splits

• November: over 14%, average 0.3 in 7 games
• Home: over 10%, average 0.1 in 10 games
• Away: over 33%, average 0.4 in 12 games
• Home (next game): over 10%, average 0.1 in 10 games
• Back-to-back: over 50%, average 0.5 in 2 games
• Rested: over 21%, average 0.3 in 19 games
• vs NSH: over 0%, average 0 in 3 games

Game log