Jalen Johnson assists prop 7.5 at MIL
Jalen Johnson, F for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 7.5 assists. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 8.4 assists, give or take 3.3; our chance of the over 58%; our own line 8.5.
- 34.1 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +0%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Strong lean over at 7.5: our chance of the over 49%, the books' 44%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 7.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 6.2
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 7.5
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 6.8
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 7.5
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 28.2 assists allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 6.7 in 3 games
- Home: over 40%, average 8.8 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 6.2 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 6.2 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 9.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 6.7 in 6 games
- vs MIL: over 67%, average 9 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 10 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 4 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs HOU | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at CHA | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | at ORL | 6 | under |
More Jalen Johnson props
- Jalen Johnson points (our line 21.5)
- Jalen Johnson rebounds (our line 9.5)
- Jalen Johnson threes made (our line 1.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + reb + ast (our line 39.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + reb (our line 31.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + ast (our line 30.5)
- Jalen Johnson reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Jalen Johnson steals (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Johnson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Johnson turnovers (our line 3.5)
Jalen Johnson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jalen Johnson's assists line at MIL?
The books' line is 7.5 assists, from 3 books. We project 8.4 and give the over 58%.
How often has Jalen Johnson gone over 7.5 assists?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 7.5 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jalen Johnson assists?
Strong lean, over 7.5: our chance 49% against the books' 44%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Jalen Johnson?
Favourable: MIL allow 28.2 assists a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.