Jalen Johnson threes made prop 1.5 at MIL
Jalen Johnson, F for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 threes. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.6 threes, give or take 1.3; our chance of the over 48%; our own line 1.5.
- 34.1 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +0%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 55%, the books' 55%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 0.6
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 0.8
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 1.4
- This season: over in 3 of 10, average 0.8
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 14.8 threes allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 0 in 3 games
- Home: over 60%, average 1.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 0%, average 0.4 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 0%, average 0.4 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 1.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 17%, average 0.7 in 6 games
- vs MIL: over 67%, average 2 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs HOU | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at CHA | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at ORL | 0 | under |
More Jalen Johnson props
- Jalen Johnson points (our line 21.5)
- Jalen Johnson rebounds (our line 9.5)
- Jalen Johnson assists (our line 8.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + reb + ast (our line 39.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + reb (our line 31.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + ast (our line 30.5)
- Jalen Johnson reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Jalen Johnson steals (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Johnson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Johnson turnovers (our line 3.5)
Jalen Johnson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jalen Johnson's threes made line at MIL?
The books' line is 1.5 threes, from 3 books. We project 1.6 and give the over 48%.
How often has Jalen Johnson gone over 1.5 threes?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 10 this season, averaging 0.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jalen Johnson threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 45% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Jalen Johnson?
Favourable: MIL allow 14.8 threes a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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