Jalen Johnson rebounds prop 9.5 at MIL
Jalen Johnson, F for ATL, next plays at MIL on Sun, Nov 15, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 rebounds. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.7 rebounds, give or take 3.6; our chance of the over 49%; our own line 9.5.
- 34.1 minutes projected, starting
- team scoring +4% per possession
- usage up: Mouhamed Gueye, Keshon Gilbert out (shots +0%, assists +3%)
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +4%
- lineup not confirmed
Our lean
Lean under at 9.5: our chance of the under 51%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 8
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 8.8
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 9
- This season: over in 2 of 10, average 8.8
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 48.5 rebounds allowed a game, 1 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 8.3 in 3 games
- Home: over 0%, average 8 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 9.6 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 9.6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 8 in 3 games
- Rested: over 17%, average 8.3 in 6 games
- vs MIL: over 67%, average 10.3 in 3 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | at CHI | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-09 | vs LAL | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | vs BKN | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at NOP | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-29 | vs CLE | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | vs MIA | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | at HOU | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | vs HOU | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | at CHA | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | at ORL | 14 | over |
More Jalen Johnson props
- Jalen Johnson points (our line 21.5)
- Jalen Johnson assists (our line 8.5)
- Jalen Johnson threes made (our line 1.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + reb + ast (our line 39.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + reb (our line 31.5)
- Jalen Johnson pts + ast (our line 30.5)
- Jalen Johnson reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Jalen Johnson steals (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Johnson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Jalen Johnson turnovers (our line 3.5)
Jalen Johnson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Jalen Johnson's rebounds line at MIL?
The books' line is 9.5 rebounds, from 3 books. We project 9.7 and give the over 49%.
How often has Jalen Johnson gone over 9.5 rebounds?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 10 this season, averaging 8.8 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Jalen Johnson rebounds?
Lean, under 9.5: our chance 51% against the books' 49%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is MIL a good matchup for Jalen Johnson?
Favourable: MIL allow 48.5 rebounds a game to all players, 1 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.