Moritz Wagner points prop 8.5 at NOP
Moritz Wagner, C for BKN, next plays at NOP on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 8.5 points. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.4 points, give or take 5.2; our chance of the over 52%; our own line 8.5.
- 17.5 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Nolan Traore's status
- usage up: Mikel Brown Jr. out (shots +2%, assists +1%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 8.5: our chance of the over 51%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 8.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 9.4
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 10.4
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 7.2
- This season: over in 6 of 10, average 10.4
Defence vs position
NOP vs all players: favourable, 122.4 points allowed a game, 2 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 60%, average 9.4 in 5 games
- Home: over 50%, average 10.5 in 4 games
- Away: over 67%, average 10.3 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 67%, average 10.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 10.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 67%, average 11 in 6 games
- vs NOP: over 0%, average 8 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at DAL | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at ATL | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHA | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at NYK | 6 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | at IND | 14 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs DET | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | at BOS | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs IND | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CLE | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHA | 7 | under |
More Moritz Wagner props
- Moritz Wagner rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Moritz Wagner assists (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner threes made (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Moritz Wagner reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Moritz Wagner steals (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner blocks (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner turnovers (our line 0.5)
Moritz Wagner player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Moritz Wagner's points line at NOP?
The books' line is 8.5 points, from 4 books. We project 9.4 and give the over 52%.
How often has Moritz Wagner gone over 8.5 points?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 10 this season, averaging 10.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Moritz Wagner points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is NOP a good matchup for Moritz Wagner?
Favourable: NOP allow 122.4 points a game to all players, 2 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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