Moritz Wagner threes made prop 0.5 at NOP
Moritz Wagner, C for BKN, next plays at NOP on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 0.5 threes. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.6 threes, give or take 0.8; our chance of the over 46%; our own line 0.5.
- 17.5 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Nolan Traore's status
- usage up: Mikel Brown Jr. out (shots +2%, assists +1%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 0.5: our chance of the over 57%, the books' 57%. Model and recent form disagree.
How he has done against 0.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 0.8
- Last 10: over in 9 of 10, average 1.1
- Last 20: over in 12 of 20, average 0.7
- This season: over in 9 of 10, average 1.1
Defence vs position
NOP vs all players: neutral, 13.4 threes allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 80%, average 0.8 in 5 games
- Home: over 75%, average 1 in 4 games
- Away: over 100%, average 1.2 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 100%, average 1.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 1.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 83%, average 1 in 6 games
- vs NOP: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | threes | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at DAL | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at ATL | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHA | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at NYK | 1 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | at IND | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs DET | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | at BOS | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs IND | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CLE | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHA | 1 | over |
More Moritz Wagner props
- Moritz Wagner points (our line 8.5)
- Moritz Wagner rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Moritz Wagner assists (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Moritz Wagner reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Moritz Wagner steals (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner blocks (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner turnovers (our line 0.5)
Moritz Wagner player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Moritz Wagner's threes made line at NOP?
The books' line is 0.5 threes, from 4 books. We project 0.6 and give the over 46%.
How often has Moritz Wagner gone over 0.5 threes?
Over in 9 of 10 of his last 10 games and 9 of 10 this season, averaging 1.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Moritz Wagner threes made?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 57% for the over.
Is NOP a good matchup for Moritz Wagner?
Neutral: NOP allow 13.4 threes a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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