Moritz Wagner pts + reb prop 12.5 at NOP
Moritz Wagner, C for BKN, next plays at NOP on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 12.5 p+r. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 13.8 p+r, give or take 6.3; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 13.5.
- 17.5 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Nolan Traore's status
- usage up: Mikel Brown Jr. out (shots +2%, assists +1%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
Lean over at 12.5: our chance of the over 49%, the books' 46%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 12.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 12
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 13.6
- Last 20: over in 6 of 20, average 9.9
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 13.6
Defence vs position
NOP vs all players: favourable, 166.6 p+r allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 40%, average 12 in 5 games
- Home: over 50%, average 13.5 in 4 games
- Away: over 50%, average 13.7 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 13.7 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 12.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 15.2 in 6 games
- vs NOP: over 0%, average 10 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at DAL | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-07 | at ATL | 11 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHA | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at NYK | 7 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | at IND | 20 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs DET | 24 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | at BOS | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs IND | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CLE | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHA | 7 | under |
More Moritz Wagner props
- Moritz Wagner points (our line 8.5)
- Moritz Wagner rebounds (our line 4.5)
- Moritz Wagner assists (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner threes made (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Moritz Wagner reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Moritz Wagner steals (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner blocks (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner turnovers (our line 0.5)
Moritz Wagner player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Moritz Wagner's pts + reb line at NOP?
The books' line is 12.5 p+r, from 4 books. We project 13.8 and give the over 56%.
How often has Moritz Wagner gone over 12.5 p+r?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 13.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Moritz Wagner pts + reb?
Lean, over 12.5: our chance 49% against the books' 46%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is NOP a good matchup for Moritz Wagner?
Favourable: NOP allow 166.6 p+r a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.