Moritz Wagner rebounds prop 3.5 at NOP
Moritz Wagner, C for BKN, next plays at NOP on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 rebounds. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 4.4 rebounds, give or take 2.5; our chance of the over 61%; our own line 4.5.
- 17.5 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Nolan Traore's status
- usage up: Mikel Brown Jr. out (shots +2%, assists +1%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
Lean over at 3.5: our chance of the over 45%, the books' 43%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 2.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 3.2
- Last 20: over in 7 of 20, average 2.8
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 3.2
Defence vs position
NOP vs all players: neutral, 44.3 rebounds allowed a game, 14 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 20%, average 2.6 in 5 games
- Home: over 25%, average 3 in 4 games
- Away: over 50%, average 3.3 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 50%, average 3.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 0%, average 2.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 67%, average 4.2 in 6 games
- vs NOP: over 0%, average 2 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at DAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at ATL | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CHA | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at NYK | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-01 | at IND | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | vs DET | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | at BOS | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs IND | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at CLE | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs CHA | 0 | under |
More Moritz Wagner props
- Moritz Wagner points (our line 8.5)
- Moritz Wagner assists (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner threes made (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + reb + ast (our line 14.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + reb (our line 13.5)
- Moritz Wagner pts + ast (our line 9.5)
- Moritz Wagner reb + ast (our line 5.5)
- Moritz Wagner steals (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner blocks (our line 0.5)
- Moritz Wagner turnovers (our line 0.5)
Moritz Wagner player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Moritz Wagner's rebounds line at NOP?
The books' line is 3.5 rebounds, from 4 books. We project 4.4 and give the over 61%.
How often has Moritz Wagner gone over 3.5 rebounds?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 3.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Moritz Wagner rebounds?
Lean, over 3.5: our chance 45% against the books' 43%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is NOP a good matchup for Moritz Wagner?
Neutral: NOP allow 44.3 rebounds a game to all players, 14 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.