Pelle Larsson assists prop 3.5 at UTA
Pelle Larsson, G for MIA, next plays at UTA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 3.5 assists. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 3.9 assists, give or take 2.2; our chance of the over 54%; our own line 3.5.
- 29.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Giannis Antetokounmpo's status
- team scoring +2% per possession
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +5%
Our lean
No lean at 3.5: our chance of the over 50%, the books' 49%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 3.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 3.2
- Last 10: over in 6 of 10, average 3.7
- Last 20: over in 10 of 20, average 3.6
- This season: over in 6 of 10, average 3.7
Defence vs position
UTA vs all players: tough, 22.3 assists allowed a game, 29 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 3.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 50%, average 3 in 4 games
- Away: over 67%, average 4.2 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 67%, average 4.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 4 in 2 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 3.6 in 7 games
- vs UTA: over 0%, average 3 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at SAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at GSW | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at LAC | 4 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at LAL | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs IND | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at ATL | 8 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CHA | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DET | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs MIN | 4 | over |
More Pelle Larsson props
- Pelle Larsson points (our line 12.5)
- Pelle Larsson rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Pelle Larsson threes made (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + reb + ast (our line 19.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + ast (our line 16.5)
- Pelle Larsson reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Pelle Larsson steals (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson turnovers (our line 1.5)
Pelle Larsson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Pelle Larsson's assists line at UTA?
The books' line is 3.5 assists, from 4 books. We project 3.9 and give the over 54%.
How often has Pelle Larsson gone over 3.5 assists?
Over in 6 of 10 of his last 10 games and 6 of 10 this season, averaging 3.7 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Pelle Larsson assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is UTA a good matchup for Pelle Larsson?
Tough: UTA allow 22.3 assists a game to all players, 29 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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