Pelle Larsson pts + reb prop 16.5 at UTA
Pelle Larsson, G for MIA, next plays at UTA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 16.5 p+r. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 16.4 p+r, give or take 6.7; our chance of the over 46%; our own line 15.5.
- 29.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Giannis Antetokounmpo's status
- team scoring +2% per possession
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +5%
Our lean
No lean at 16.5: our chance of the under 52%, the books' 51%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 16.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 14.2
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 14.2
- Last 20: over in 9 of 20, average 16.2
- This season: over in 3 of 10, average 14.2
Defence vs position
UTA vs all players: favourable, 164.4 p+r allowed a game, 7 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 0%, average 12.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 11.8 in 4 games
- Away: over 33%, average 15.8 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 15.8 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 18 in 2 games
- Rested: over 29%, average 14.4 in 7 games
- vs UTA: over 100%, average 22 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at SAC | 14 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at GSW | 14 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at LAC | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at LAL | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs IND | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at ATL | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DAL | 12 | under |
| 2026-10-24 | at CHA | 22 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DET | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs MIN | 5 | under |
More Pelle Larsson props
- Pelle Larsson points (our line 12.5)
- Pelle Larsson rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Pelle Larsson assists (our line 3.5)
- Pelle Larsson threes made (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + reb + ast (our line 19.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + ast (our line 16.5)
- Pelle Larsson reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Pelle Larsson steals (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson turnovers (our line 1.5)
Pelle Larsson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Pelle Larsson's pts + reb line at UTA?
The books' line is 16.5 p+r, from 4 books. We project 16.4 and give the over 46%.
How often has Pelle Larsson gone over 16.5 p+r?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 3 of 10 this season, averaging 14.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Pelle Larsson pts + reb?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 49% for the over.
Is UTA a good matchup for Pelle Larsson?
Favourable: UTA allow 164.4 p+r a game to all players, 7 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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