Pelle Larsson steals prop 1.5 at UTA
Pelle Larsson, G for MIA, next plays at UTA on Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 2 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 0.9 steals, give or take 1.0; our chance of the over 22%; our own line 0.5.
- 29.2 minutes projected, off the bench
- waiting on Giannis Antetokounmpo's status
- team scoring +2% per possession
- UTA scorekeeper: assists +5%
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 69%, the books' 68%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 1 of 5, average 1.2
- Last 10: over in 2 of 10, average 1.3
- Last 20: over in 4 of 20, average 1.1
- This season: over in 2 of 10, average 1.3
Defence vs position
UTA vs all players: favourable, 9.8 steals allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 1.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 25%, average 1.3 in 4 games
- Away: over 17%, average 1.3 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 17%, average 1.3 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 50%, average 2 in 2 games
- Rested: over 14%, average 1.1 in 7 games
- vs UTA: over 0%, average 0 in 1 game
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | at SAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-05 | at GSW | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at LAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | vs IND | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at ATL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs DAL | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-24 | at CHA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-23 | vs DET | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-21 | vs MIN | 1 | under |
More Pelle Larsson props
- Pelle Larsson points (our line 12.5)
- Pelle Larsson rebounds (our line 3.5)
- Pelle Larsson assists (our line 3.5)
- Pelle Larsson threes made (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + reb + ast (our line 19.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Pelle Larsson pts + ast (our line 16.5)
- Pelle Larsson reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Pelle Larsson blocks (our line 0.5)
- Pelle Larsson turnovers (our line 1.5)
Pelle Larsson player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Pelle Larsson's steals line at UTA?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 2 books. We project 0.9 and give the over 22%.
How often has Pelle Larsson gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 2 of 10 of his last 10 games and 2 of 10 this season, averaging 1.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Pelle Larsson steals?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 32% for the over.
Is UTA a good matchup for Pelle Larsson?
Favourable: UTA allow 9.8 steals a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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