Walker Kessler points prop 13.5 at MIL
Walker Kessler, C for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 13.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 14.5 points, give or take 5.7; our chance of the over 55%; our own line 14.5.
- 30.1 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 13.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 51%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 13.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 15.8
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 13.1
- Last 20: over in 10 of 17, average 14.8
- This season: over in 7 of 12, average 14.9
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 121.2 points allowed a game, 3 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 83%, average 15.8 in 6 games
- Home: over 83%, average 18 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 11.8 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 11.8 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 15.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 13.3 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 21 | over |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 12 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 10 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 11 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 13 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 2 | under |
More Walker Kessler props
- Walker Kessler rebounds (our line 10.5)
- Walker Kessler assists (our line 1.5)
- Walker Kessler threes made (our line 0.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + reb + ast (our line 26.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Walker Kessler reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Walker Kessler steals (our line 0.5)
- Walker Kessler blocks (our line 1.5)
- Walker Kessler turnovers (our line 1.5)
Walker Kessler player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Walker Kessler's points line at MIL?
The books' line is 13.5 points, from 5 books. We project 14.5 and give the over 55%.
How often has Walker Kessler gone over 13.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 7 of 12 this season, averaging 13.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Walker Kessler points?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Walker Kessler?
Favourable: MIL allow 121.2 points a game to all players, 3 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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