Walker Kessler rebounds prop 10.5 at MIL
Walker Kessler, C for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 10.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 11.0 rebounds, give or take 3.9; our chance of the over 52%; our own line 10.5.
- 30.1 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 10.5: our chance of the over 55%, the books' 55%. Model and recent form both lean under.
How he has done against 10.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 12.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 11.3
- Last 20: over in 8 of 17, average 10.8
- This season: over in 5 of 12, average 10.8
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 48.9 rebounds allowed a game, 2 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 67%, average 12.7 in 6 games
- Home: over 50%, average 11.2 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 10.5 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 10.5 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 33%, average 11.3 in 3 games
- Rested: over 50%, average 10.9 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 10 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 12 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 8 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 15 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 15 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 8 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 7 | under |
More Walker Kessler props
- Walker Kessler points (our line 14.5)
- Walker Kessler assists (our line 1.5)
- Walker Kessler threes made (our line 0.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + reb + ast (our line 26.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Walker Kessler reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Walker Kessler steals (our line 0.5)
- Walker Kessler blocks (our line 1.5)
- Walker Kessler turnovers (our line 1.5)
Walker Kessler player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Walker Kessler's rebounds line at MIL?
The books' line is 10.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 11.0 and give the over 52%.
How often has Walker Kessler gone over 10.5 rebounds?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 12 this season, averaging 11.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Walker Kessler rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 55% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Walker Kessler?
Favourable: MIL allow 48.9 rebounds a game to all players, 2 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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