Walker Kessler steals prop 1.5 at MIL
Walker Kessler, C for LAL, next plays at MIL on Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 steals. 4 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.1 steals, give or take 1.1; our chance of the over 32%; our own line 0.5.
- 30.1 minutes projected, starting
- waiting on Quentin Grimes's status
- waiting on Austin Reaves's status
- MIL scorekeeper: assists +3%
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the over 31%, the books' 30%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 1.6
- Last 10: over in 3 of 10, average 1.2
- Last 20: over in 6 of 17, average 1.3
- This season: over in 4 of 12, average 1.3
Defence vs position
MIL vs all players: favourable, 9.6 steals allowed a game, 4 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 33%, average 1.5 in 6 games
- Home: over 33%, average 1.3 in 6 games
- Away: over 33%, average 1.2 in 6 games
- Away (next game): over 33%, average 1.2 in 6 games
- Back-to-back: over 67%, average 1.7 in 3 games
- Rested: over 25%, average 1.3 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | steals | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | at ATL | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-08 | at DET | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-06 | vs POR | 1 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | at SAC | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | vs MIA | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs TOR | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-30 | at GSW | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at LAC | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-27 | vs POR | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | at UTA | 0 | under |
More Walker Kessler props
- Walker Kessler points (our line 14.5)
- Walker Kessler rebounds (our line 10.5)
- Walker Kessler assists (our line 1.5)
- Walker Kessler threes made (our line 0.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + reb + ast (our line 26.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + reb (our line 25.5)
- Walker Kessler pts + ast (our line 15.5)
- Walker Kessler reb + ast (our line 12.5)
- Walker Kessler blocks (our line 1.5)
- Walker Kessler turnovers (our line 1.5)
Walker Kessler player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Walker Kessler's steals line at MIL?
The books' line is 1.5 steals, from 4 books. We project 1.1 and give the over 32%.
How often has Walker Kessler gone over 1.5 steals?
Over in 3 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 12 this season, averaging 1.2 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Walker Kessler steals?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 30% for the over.
Is MIL a good matchup for Walker Kessler?
Favourable: MIL allow 9.6 steals a game to all players, 4 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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