Aday Mara assists prop 1.5 at POR
Aday Mara, C for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 1.5 assists. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 1.5 assists, give or take 1.3; our chance of the over 42%; our own line 1.5.
- 21.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 21.6 minutes (season 19.8, tonight 23.4)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 1.5: our chance of the under 59%, the books' 57%. Close to the market.
How he has done against 1.5
- Last 5: over in 3 of 5, average 1.6
- Last 10: over in 4 of 10, average 1.3
- Last 20: over in 4 of 10, average 1.3
- This season: over in 4 of 10, average 1.3
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: tough, 23.8 assists allowed a game, 28 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 50%, average 1.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 1.6 in 5 games
- Away: over 20%, average 1 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 20%, average 1 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 2.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 29%, average 1 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 3 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 0 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 2 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 3 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 1 | under |
More Aday Mara props
- Aday Mara points (our line 9.5)
- Aday Mara rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Aday Mara threes made (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Aday Mara pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Aday Mara reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Aday Mara steals (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara blocks (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aday Mara player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aday Mara's assists line at POR?
The books' line is 1.5 assists, from 3 books. We project 1.5 and give the over 42%.
How often has Aday Mara gone over 1.5 assists?
Over in 4 of 10 of his last 10 games and 4 of 10 this season, averaging 1.3 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aday Mara assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 43% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Aday Mara?
Tough: POR allow 23.8 assists a game to all players, 28 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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