Aday Mara pts + reb prop 14.5 at POR
Aday Mara, C for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 14.5 p+r. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 16.4 p+r, give or take 7.3; our chance of the over 57%; our own line 15.5.
- 21.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 21.6 minutes (season 19.8, tonight 23.4)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 14.5: our chance of the over 53%, the books' 51%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 14.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 18.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 14
- Last 20: over in 5 of 10, average 14
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 14
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 154.9 p+r allowed a game, 18 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 18.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 14.2 in 5 games
- Away: over 60%, average 13.8 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 13.8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 23.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 12 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+r | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 26 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 16 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 14 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 19 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 16 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 9 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 21 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 9 | under |
More Aday Mara props
- Aday Mara points (our line 9.5)
- Aday Mara rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Aday Mara assists (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara threes made (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Aday Mara pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Aday Mara reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Aday Mara steals (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara blocks (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aday Mara player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aday Mara's pts + reb line at POR?
The books' line is 14.5 p+r, from 5 books. We project 16.4 and give the over 57%.
How often has Aday Mara gone over 14.5 p+r?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 14 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aday Mara pts + reb?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 51% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Aday Mara?
Neutral: POR allow 154.9 p+r a game to all players, 18 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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