Aday Mara rebounds prop 6.5 at POR
Aday Mara, C for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 6.5 rebounds. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 6.7 rebounds, give or take 3.5; our chance of the over 49%; our own line 6.5.
- 21.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 21.6 minutes (season 19.8, tonight 23.4)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 6.5: our chance of the under 51%, the books' 50%. Our model leans under.
How he has done against 6.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 7.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 5.9
- Last 20: over in 5 of 10, average 5.9
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 5.9
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: tough, 41.1 rebounds allowed a game, 26 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 7.3 in 4 games
- Home: over 40%, average 5.8 in 5 games
- Away: over 60%, average 6 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 60%, average 6 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 9 in 2 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 5.6 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | rebounds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 8 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 7 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 5 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 2 | under |
More Aday Mara props
- Aday Mara points (our line 9.5)
- Aday Mara assists (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara threes made (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Aday Mara pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Aday Mara reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Aday Mara steals (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara blocks (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aday Mara player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aday Mara's rebounds line at POR?
The books' line is 6.5 rebounds, from 5 books. We project 6.7 and give the over 49%.
How often has Aday Mara gone over 6.5 rebounds?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 5.9 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aday Mara rebounds?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 50% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Aday Mara?
Tough: POR allow 41.1 rebounds a game to all players, 26 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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