Aday Mara points prop 8.5 at POR
Aday Mara, C for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 8.5 points. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 9.6 points, give or take 5.3; our chance of the over 54%; our own line 9.5.
- 21.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 21.6 minutes (season 19.8, tonight 23.4)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
Lean over at 8.5: our chance of the over 48%, the books' 45%. Model and recent form both lean over.
How he has done against 8.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 10.6
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 8.1
- Last 20: over in 5 of 10, average 8.1
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 8.1
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 113.8 points allowed a game, 15 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 100%, average 11.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 8.4 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 7.8 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 7.8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 14.5 in 2 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 6.4 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | points | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 18 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 9 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 6 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 11 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 7 | under |
More Aday Mara props
- Aday Mara rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Aday Mara assists (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara threes made (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Aday Mara pts + ast (our line 10.5)
- Aday Mara reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Aday Mara steals (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara blocks (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aday Mara player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aday Mara's points line at POR?
The books' line is 8.5 points, from 5 books. We project 9.6 and give the over 54%.
How often has Aday Mara gone over 8.5 points?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 8.1 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aday Mara points?
Lean, over 8.5: our chance 48% against the books' 45%. It is a lean, not a pick.
Is POR a good matchup for Aday Mara?
Neutral: POR allow 113.8 points a game to all players, 15 of 30 (1 allows the most).
These are leans, never picks: research, not betting advice. Nothing is placed from this site. 19+, Ontario. Help: ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.