Aday Mara pts + ast prop 9.5 at POR
Aday Mara, C for OKC, next plays at POR on Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 9.5 p+a. 3 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 11.1 p+a, give or take 5.7; our chance of the over 57%; our own line 10.5.
- 21.6 minutes projected, starting
- priced at 21.6 minutes (season 19.8, tonight 23.4)
- usage up: Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams out (shots +2%, assists +3%)
- small sample, leaning on priors
- ice time uncertain
Our lean
No lean at 9.5: our chance of the over 52%, the books' 50%. Our model leans over.
How he has done against 9.5
- Last 5: over in 4 of 5, average 12.2
- Last 10: over in 5 of 10, average 9.4
- Last 20: over in 5 of 10, average 9.4
- This season: over in 5 of 10, average 9.4
Defence vs position
POR vs all players: neutral, 137.6 p+a allowed a game, 19 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 75%, average 12.8 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 10 in 5 games
- Away: over 40%, average 8.8 in 5 games
- Away (next game): over 40%, average 8.8 in 5 games
- Back-to-back: over 100%, average 17 in 2 games
- Rested: over 43%, average 7.4 in 7 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | p+a | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | vs WAS | 21 | over |
| 2026-11-06 | at MEM | 9 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs CLE | 11 | over |
| 2026-11-02 | at CLE | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-31 | at HOU | 10 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at DAL | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-26 | vs PHX | 13 | over |
| 2026-10-25 | vs LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-10-22 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-20 | at SAS | 8 | under |
More Aday Mara props
- Aday Mara points (our line 9.5)
- Aday Mara rebounds (our line 6.5)
- Aday Mara assists (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara threes made (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb + ast (our line 17.5)
- Aday Mara pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Aday Mara reb + ast (our line 7.5)
- Aday Mara steals (our line 0.5)
- Aday Mara blocks (our line 1.5)
- Aday Mara turnovers (our line 1.5)
Aday Mara player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Aday Mara's pts + ast line at POR?
The books' line is 9.5 p+a, from 3 books. We project 11.1 and give the over 57%.
How often has Aday Mara gone over 9.5 p+a?
Over in 5 of 10 of his last 10 games and 5 of 10 this season, averaging 9.4 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Aday Mara pts + ast?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 50% for the over.
Is POR a good matchup for Aday Mara?
Neutral: POR allow 137.6 p+a a game to all players, 19 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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