Fred VanVleet assists prop 4.5 vs GSW
Fred VanVleet, G for HOU, next plays vs GSW on Wed, Nov 11, 9:30 pm ET.
The line
The books' line: 4.5 assists. 5 books are quoting it.
Our projection
Our projection: 5.1 assists, give or take 2.5; our chance of the over 56%; our own line 4.5.
- 27.9 minutes projected, starting
- small sample, leaning on priors
Our lean
No lean at 4.5: our chance of the over 57%, the books' 56%. Recent form leans over.
How he has done against 4.5
- Last 5: over in 2 of 5, average 4.8
- Last 10: over in 6 of 9, average 5.6
- Last 20: over in 6 of 9, average 5.6
- This season: over in 6 of 9, average 5.6
Defence vs position
GSW vs all players: neutral, 26.8 assists allowed a game, 14 of 30.
Splits
- November: over 25%, average 4.5 in 4 games
- Home: over 60%, average 6 in 5 games
- Away: over 75%, average 5 in 4 games
- Home (next game): over 60%, average 6 in 5 games
- Rested: over 63%, average 4.9 in 8 games
Game log
| Date | Opponent | assists | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | vs DEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-11-07 | at PHX | 4 | under |
| 2026-11-04 | vs MIN | 3 | under |
| 2026-11-02 | vs BOS | 9 | over |
| 2026-10-30 | at DAL | 6 | over |
| 2026-10-28 | at MIL | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-26 | vs ATL | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-23 | at SAS | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-21 | vs DAL | 11 | over |
More Fred VanVleet props
- Fred VanVleet points (our line 12.5)
- Fred VanVleet rebounds (our line 2.5)
- Fred VanVleet threes made (our line 2.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + reb + ast (our line 20.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + reb (our line 15.5)
- Fred VanVleet pts + ast (our line 17.5)
- Fred VanVleet reb + ast (our line 8.5)
- Fred VanVleet steals (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet blocks (our line 0.5)
- Fred VanVleet turnovers (our line 1.5)
Fred VanVleet player page · Every NBA player prop today
Quick answers
What is Fred VanVleet's assists line vs GSW?
The books' line is 4.5 assists, from 5 books. We project 5.1 and give the over 56%.
How often has Fred VanVleet gone over 4.5 assists?
Over in 6 of 9 of his last 10 games and 6 of 9 this season, averaging 5.6 over his last 10.
Do you lean over or under on Fred VanVleet assists?
No lean: our read sits close to the books' 56% for the over.
Is GSW a good matchup for Fred VanVleet?
Neutral: GSW allow 26.8 assists a game to all players, 14 of 30 (1 allows the most).
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